According to statistics from the Brazilian Foreign Trade Secretariat, Brazil's cotton exports so far in January have been higher than the same period last year. From January 1st to 9th, the export volume was 136,327 tons, compared to 415,604 tons in January 2025. The average daily export volume so far in January is 22,721 tons, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.3%. PriceSeek's analysis of lint cotton gives a long-short score of -1. The article indicates that Brazil's cotton exports have increased by 20.3% year-on-year, with an average daily export volume of 22,721 tons, suggesting an increase in international market supply. The growth in supply may exert downward pressure on spot cotton prices. Considering the cotton futures market, the recent closing price of the main contract 2605 was 14,810 yuan/ton, with a settlement price of 14,765 yuan/ton, showing no change in price movement. The trading volume was 339,510, and the open interest was 842,369, indicating stable prices with minimal changes in open interest. The news of export growth may reinforce market expectations of increased supply, exerting a generally bearish impact on futures prices. It is anticipated that prices may face moderate downward risks in the future.
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