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Morning Market Update: Aniline

Published on 2026-09-23

I. Key Focus Points:

Pure Benzene: The United States and Iran are scheduled to hold talks, leading the market to anticipate a de-escalation of geopolitical tensions and a decline in international crude oil prices. ICE Brent November futures closed at $99.25/barrel, down $1.09/barrel (-1.09% week-on-week). Although international crude oil prices are under downward pressure, geopolitical risks have not fully dissipated. The market is expected to open lower today and trade weakly with range-bound fluctuations.

II. Price Table

Region Sep 23 Sep 22 Change
East China 14,520 14,220 +300
Shandong 14,300 14,000 +300
Notes:
1. Prices for East China are RMB ex-factory acceptance-inclusive (tax included); prices for Shandong are RMB ex-factory cash payment.
2. Prices refer to spot values from the two weeks preceding this week, not weekly averages.
3. Change represents the week-on-week variation.

III. Data Table

Aniline Industry Supply-Demand Data
Indicator 2026/9/17 2026/9/10 Change Rate Next Week Forecast
Capacity Utilization Rate 84.48% 81.15% +3.33%
Production Profit Margin 20.94% 23.46% -2.52%
Output 8.63 8.29 +0.34
1. Capacity utilization rate reflects production levels, calculated as the ratio of actual output to total capacity.
2. Production profit margin is an industry-wide metric reflecting overall profitability across major regions, calculated as industry profit divided by average price.
3. Output refers to the domestic aniline industry's weekly production volume, unit: 10,000 tons.

IV. Market Outlook

Supply-side reductions and pre-holiday stockpiling demand have released positive signals in the spot market. Trading sentiment is active, and domestic aniline prices continue to rise.

Comments

0
  • Yuki Tanaka 2026-09-23 20:05
    Aniline spot prices jumped 300 RMB despite crude pressure, driven by supply cuts and pre-holiday stockpiling. While capacity utilization rose, margin compression is evident. I expect weak range-bound trading soon as the ..
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