Recently, soda ash has been trending weakly with volatility. Most enterprises have maintained firm prices, while a few have seen slight declines. Downstream demand remains tepid, with some sectors reducing operating rates or undergoing cold repairs. Futures prices have fallen, leading to lower spot-futures arbitrage prices, and downstream players are replenishing inventory at low levels. Looking at plant maintenance, as overhauls gradually conclude, supply is bottoming out and recovering. However, some enterprises are still facing maintenance or equipment issues in the near term, which is expected to slow the pace of output growth.
Key focus points in the soda ash market recently:
Currently, soda ash maintenance is gradually ending, and supply is expected to show an increasing trend. Based on current information, some enterprises will undergo maintenance in late June and July, slowing the pace of output growth and causing a temporary decline, but overall supply remains relatively ample. At present, daily soda ash output exceeds 104,000 tons.
Maintenance expected to resume, operating rates to rise subsequently
[Table: "Figure 1 Domestic Soda Ash Operating Rate Trend Chart" omitted]
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