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Why does mixed C5 price fall despite rising crude oil?

Olivier Dupont
Published on 2026-08-29

Why does mixed C5 price fall despite rising crude oil?
In March, international crude rebounded sharply on geopolitical tensions, yet mixed C5 prices in Shandong dropped significantly. The key disconnect: gasoline wholesale prices failed to follow crude upward, as refineries saw several days of sales below production balance amid COVID-related demand weakness. Logistics restrictions from multiple outbreaks also curbed cross-regional flows, with intra-Shandong price spreads exceeding 300 yuan/ton. This shows mixed C5 pricing is now driven more by downstream gasoline demand and regional supply-demand dynamics than by crude oil direction alone. Buyers should monitor gasoline inventory and transportation policy rather than oil headlines when timing purchases.

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  • Yuki Tanaka 2026-08-30 14:53
    This highlights a structural shift: mixed C5 has become a gasoline-blending component first, petrochemical feedstock second. When gasoline margins weaken, C5 loses its floor regardless of crude. Track Shandong independent refinery utilization and gasoline export quotas as leading indicators.
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