Why is China tightening control over fluorspar supply, and how does this affect global pricing?
China holds roughly 27% of global fluorspar reserves but produces over 62% of world output, giving it outsized pricing power. The government has listed fluorspar as a strategic mineral, on par with rare earths, and is enforcing stricter environmental, safety, and resource-utilization rules. Mine counts have fallen from over 1,400 a decade ago to around 600 today, with only about 3% of mines producing over 100,000 tonnes annually. This supply rationalization, combined with rising downstream demand from refrigerants, lithium batteries, and semiconductors, supports a long-term bullish price outlook. Analysts expect prices to remain elevated as high-cost, small-scale producers exit and capital consolidates around larger, compliant operators.
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