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Home > News > Demand-side support drives up domestic butadiene prices

Demand-side support drives up domestic butadiene prices

Published on 2026-11-09
  1. Today’s Summary

① On November 9, Sinopec East China raised its ex-factory price for butadiene by CNY 400/ton, effective today at CNY 14,900/ton. Downstream synthetic rubber prices have risen accordingly.

② On November 9, the domestic butadiene industry’s capacity utilization rate stood at 65.15%, up 1.3 percentage points from the previous working day.

  1. Spot Market Overview

Table: Domestic Butadiene Price Summary (Unit: CNY/ton)

Price Type Producer/Region Nov 9, 2026 Nov 6, 2026 Change % Change
Ex-Factory Quote Sinopec East China 14,900 14,500 +400 +2.76%
Sinopec South China 14,850 14,450 +400 +2.77%
Sinopec North China 15,000 14,600 +400 +2.74%
Sinopec Central China 14,900 14,500 +400 +2.76%
Lianyungang Petrochemical 14,840 14,460 +380 +2.63%
Shenghong Refining & Chemical 15,050 14,400 +650 +4.51%
Dalian Hengli 14,760 14,360 +400 +2.79%
Yantai Wanhua 14,900 14,900 0 0.00%
Liaoyang Petrochemical 14,530 14,460 +70 +0.48%
Shenhua Ningmei 14,800 14,400 +400 +2.78%
Inner Mongolia Jiutai 14,200 14,500 -300 -2.07%
Dongming Petrochemical 14,730 14,450 +280 +1.94%
Yulong Petrochemical 15,105 14,845 +260 +1.75%
Market Price Shandong Central Delivery 15,300 14,800 +500 +3.38%
Jiangyin Tank Truck Self-Pickup 14,750 14,400 +350 +2.43%
Huanghai West Bank Self-Pickup 15,060 14,460 +600 +4.15%
Key Downstream Products
BR Rubber Shandong Daqing BR9000 16,100 15,950 +150 +0.94%
SBR Rubber Shandong Qilu 1502 15,800 15,600 +200 +1.28%

Data Source: Chempricehub

Based on the delivered price in the Shandong Central region, today’s closing price was CNY 15,300/ton, a week-on-week increase of CNY 500/ton. The domestic butadiene spot market strengthened today. Prices for key downstream products rose, and as downstream facilities gradually resumed operations, expectations for increased butadiene demand grew. This enhanced demand-side support contributed to a bullish sentiment within the market. Low-priced supplies became scarce, leading to an upward shift in transaction centers. However, downstream buyers remained resistant to high prices, resulting in only a modest strengthening of market conditions. Delivered prices in the Shandong Central region ranged from CNY 15,200–15,400/ton, while reference prices for tank truck self-pickup in East China were CNY 14,600–14,900/ton.

On November 9, the domestic butadiene industry’s capacity utilization rate was 65.15%, up 1.3 percentage points from the previous working day. Regarding theoretical production margins, Japanese naphtha prices continued to rise on November 6. While Sinopec maintained its butadiene price at CNY 14,500/ton, the theoretical production margin for butadiene extracted via the C4 extraction process declined, calculated at CNY 5,200.92/ton.

  1. Price Forecast

In the short term, export resources for domestic butadiene remain tight. Combined with the gradual recovery in downstream demand, traders are actively maintaining firm quotations, making it difficult to find low-priced supplementary supplies. However, downstream acceptance of high raw material costs is becoming limited, making transactions at elevated levels challenging. Therefore, the domestic butadiene market is expected to fluctuate within a narrow range.

  1. Related Product Updates

Synthetic Rubber Market: Today, prices for both BR (butadiene rubber) and SBR (styrene-butadiene rubber) markets rose steadily. In the Shandong market, Daqing BR9000 prices increased by CNY 150/ton to reach CNY 16,100/ton, while Qilu SBR 1502 prices rose by CNY 200/ton to reach CNY 15,800/ton.

  1. Data Calendar

Table: Domestic Butadiene Data Overview (Unit: 10,000 tons, CNY/ton)

Indicator Release Time Previous Value Expected Trend
Butadiene Port Inventory Wednesday 17:00 PM 3.15 ↗
Butadiene Production Margin Friday 17:00 PM 4,828.46 ↘
Butadiene Inventory Analysis Friday 17:00 PM 5.3 ↗
Weekly Butadiene Capacity Utilization Friday 17:00 PM 64.36% ↗
Weekly Butadiene Output Friday 17:00 PM 10.87 ↘

Data Source: Chempricehub

Notes:

  1. ↓↑ indicates significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%.
  2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range fluctuations, highlighting data with changes within 0–3%.

Comments

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  • Elena Vasquez 2026-11-09 20:05
    With capacity utilization at 65.15%, Sinopec’s price hike signals tight supply. However, elevated downstream synthetic rubber costs may dampen demand, risking margin compression for converters despite current bullish se..
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