1. Daily Highlights
2. Spot Market Overview
Table 1 Domestic ammonium sulfate price summary (Unit: yuan/tonne)
| Market | Specification | Sep 8 | Sep 9 | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong | Coking-grade | 983-1005 | 960-980 | -23/-25 | -2.34%/-2.49% |
| Shanxi | Coking-grade | 900-985 | 830-900 | -70/-85 | -7.78%/-8.63% |
| Handan | Coking-grade | 975-1035 | 975-1035 | 0/0 | 0.00%/0.00% |
| Henan | Coking-grade | 973-1060 | 955-988 | -18/-72 | -1.85%/-6.79% |
| Northwest | Coking-grade | 810-880 | 770-830 | -40/-50 | -4.94%/-5.68% |
| Northeast | Coking-grade | 810-1085 | 810-1085 | 0/0 | 0.00%/0.00% |
| Shandong | Caprolactam-grade | 1100-1150 | 1100-1150 | 0/0 | 0.00%/0.00% |
| Shanxi | Caprolactam-grade | 1100-1130 | 1130-1130 | 0/0 | 0.00%/0.00% |
| Key downstream market | |||||
| Shandong | Compound fertilizer 45%S (3×15) | 3430 | 3430 | 0 | 0.00% |
Benchmarked against coking-grade ammonium sulfate in the Shandong region, the price settled at 970 yuan/tonne, down 24 yuan/tonne, and auction sentiment cooled this week.
3. Production Updates
At present, caprolactam plant loads are being adjusted within a narrow range, with the caprolactam operating rate at 66.94%. Independent coking enterprises are running at 65.01%, and the capacity utilization rate of domestic compound fertilizer producers is 34.18%.
4. Price Forecast
The ammonium sulfate market moved mostly lower today. As the transition period draws to an end, market buying sentiment has cooled beyond demand-based procurement, and most coking-grade ammonium sulfate prices declined. The ammonium sulfate market is expected to weaken further in the short term.
5. Related Product Markets
Urea: The domestic urea market showed a high-level volatile pullback today. Production costs at urea enterprises remain high, providing underlying support for prices. However, as offers continued to climb, downstream demand has followed up sluggishly and purchasing turned cautious. In addition, plants previously under maintenance have gradually resumed operation, lifting daily output and keeping supply pressure in place. As a result, the domestic urea market has experienced a volatile correction over the past two days, although most producers still keep quotes stable with a strong willingness to support prices. In the very short term, as demand-side follow-through remains slow, producers are likely to soften quotes and proactively collect orders, potentially ushering in a new round of market adjustment.
Table 2 Domestic ammonium sulfate data summary (Unit: 10,000 tonnes)
| Data Item | Release Date | Previous Figure | Trend Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coking enterprise capacity utilization | Friday 5:00 PM | 65.01% | ↘ |
| Caprolactam capacity utilization | Thursday 5:00 PM | 66.94% | ↘ |
| Compound fertilizer capacity utilization | Thursday 5:00 PM | 34.18% | ↗ |
| Data source: Chempricehub Information. Notes: 1. ↓↑ denotes a major fluctuation (change exceeding 3%). 2. ↗↘ denotes a minor fluctuation (change within 0-3%). |
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