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Home > News > Ethanol Market Morning Brief (September 20, 2026)

Ethanol Market Morning Brief (September 20, 2026)

Published on 2026-09-20

I. Key Focus Points

  1. 9/18: International crude oil prices fell due to improved expectations for the repair of Saudi Arabian oil pipelines, coupled with signs of easing tensions in the Middle East. The NYMEX WTI October contract closed at $100.3 per barrel, down $1.61/barrel (-1.58% day-over-day). The ICE Brent November contract closed at $103.87 per barrel, down $0.95/barrel (-0.91% day-over-day). China's INE crude oil futures November 2026 contract fell by 50.6 yuan to 754.4 yuan/barrel; the night session dropped by 19.6 yuan to 734.8 yuan/barrel.

Core Logic:

  1. Edible Ethanol: Yesterday, regional edible ordinary-grade ethanol market prices fluctuated as local facilities adjusted operations; the market trended sideways with volatility.
  2. Anhydrous Ethanol: Yesterday, regional anhydrous ethanol market prices remained stable and consolidated.
  3. Fuel Ethanol: Yesterday, fuel ethanol market prices were stable, with consistent pickup prices from independent refineries.
  4. Coal-based Ethanol: Yesterday, coal-based ethanol market offers remained stable.

II. Price Table

Unit: RMB/ton, USD/barrel

Chempricehub Daily Briefing on Ethanol and Fuel Ethanol Related Products

Product Region 2026/9/18 2026/9/17 Change Remarks
Crude Oil WTI 100.3 101.91 -1.61
Brent 103.87 104.82 -0.95
Domestic Gasoline Guidance Price (89#) 8475 8475 Shandong
Dried Cassava Thailand 245-245 245-245 FOB, USD/ton
Converted Plant Cost 1993-1993 1993-1993 East China, RMB/ton
Corn (Inbound) Heilongjiang 2088-2140 2088-2140 Heilongjiang
Jilin 2170-2270 2170-2270 Jilin
Henan 2160-2170 2190-2190 -30/-20 Jiaozuo dry grain, 14% moisture
Shandong 2226-2226 2232-2232 -6/-6 Weifang dry grain, 14% moisture
Ordinary Grade Heilongjiang (East) 4900-5100 4900-5100 Corn
Heilongjiang (West) 5000-5150 5000-5150 Corn
Jilin 5100-5170 5100-5170 Corn
Shandong - - Cassava, ex-factory
Shandong 5420-5550 5420-5550 Wheat
Northern Jiangsu 5650-5650 5650-5650 Cassava
Southern Jiangsu 5650-5700 5650-5700 Cassava, ex-factory
Anhui 5700-5750 5650-5700 +50/+50 Grain/Cassava
Guangxi 5700-5800 5700-5800 Molasses/Cassava
Premium Grade Heilongjiang 5000-5150 5000-5150 East/West, Corn
Jilin 5200-5450 5200-5450 Corn
Shandong 5470-5600 5470-5600 Wheat
Northern Jiangsu 5650-5650 5650-5650
Henan 5550-5570 5550-5550 0/+20 Corn
Anhydrous Ethanol Heilongjiang (Standard) 5700-5850 5700-5850 Corn
Heilongjiang (Electronic Grade) 5950-6000 5950-6000 Corn
Jilin (Standard) 5850-5850 5850-5850 Corn, transactions mainly at lower end
Jilin (Electronic Grade) 5900-5920 5900-5920 Corn, transactions mainly at lower end
Henan (Standard) 6150-6150 6150-6150 Corn
Henan (Electronic Grade) 6250-6250 6250-6250 Corn, no stock available
Northern Jiangsu 6400-6450 6400-6450 Cassava
Anhui 6400-6450 6400-6450 Grain/Cassava
Guangxi 6500-6600 6500-6600 Cassava
Port Jinzhou Port 5350-5450 5350-5450 Ordinary grade, Corn
Fuel Ethanol Heilongjiang (East) 6100-6198 6100-6198 High-end price is delivered to Heilongjiang
Heilongjiang (West) 6100-6198 6100-6198 High-end price is delivered to Heilongjiang
Liaoning 6426-6426 6426-6426 Delivered price in Liaoning
Jilin 6349-6349 6349-6349 Delivered price in Jilin
Panjin Independent Refinery (Delivered) - -
Shandong Independent Refinery (Delivered) 6060-6060 6030-6030 +30/+30 Delivered price
Synthetic/Coal-based Ethanol Shaanxi Starting Bid 5800 5800 Online starting bid price
Anhui Starting Bid 6010 6010 Online starting bid price
Henan Standard 6100 6100 Quotation, negotiable upon transaction
Henan High-end - - Shutdown
Shandong 6180 6180 Quotation, negotiable upon transaction
Hunan 6150 6150 Quotation, negotiable upon transaction
Hebei 6300 6300 Quotation, negotiable upon transaction
Hubei 6180 6180 Quotation, negotiable upon transaction
Guangdong 6550 6450 +100 Quotation, negotiable upon transaction
Ethyl Acetate East China (Self-pickup) 6400-6550 6300-6450 +100/+100
MTBE Shandong (Self-pickup) 7800-7850 7820-7900 -20/-50
DDGS Heilongjiang 2180-2210 2180-2210
Jilin 2260-2380 2260-2380
Henan 2300-2300 2300-2300
Freight Tracking Western Heilongjiang-Shandong 470-520 470-520 Ordinary ethanol
Henan-Shandong 100-200 100-200
Eastern Heilongjiang-Shandong 420-460 420-460 Ordinary ethanol
Northwest-Shandong 270-310 270-310
Mengzhou-Chengdu 360-390 360-390 Return empty trucks are relatively cheap

III. Data Table

Data Type This Week Last Week Current Period Expectation
Cassava Ethanol Profit -518.8 -518.8
Corn Ethanol Profit -138.75 -138.75
Coal-based Ethanol Profit 300 300
Remarks: 1. Cassava ethanol profit refers to production profit for cassava ethanol markets in East China/Northern Jiangsu. 2. Corn ethanol profit refers to production profit for corn ethanol markets in Northeast/Heilongjiang. 3. Molasses ethanol profit refers to production profit for molasses ethanol markets in southern regions.

Unit: RMB/ton

IV. Market Outlook

Domestic ethanol prices are expected to remain stable to slightly stronger in the short term. In Northeast China, prices are stable to slightly stronger; shipments are proceeding according to contracted orders, pre-holiday inventory buildup is about to begin, freight rates are rising, and delivered prices are increasing. In East China, prices are stable to slightly stronger, driven by rigid demand from the chemical industry. In Henan, prices are stable, supported by rigid procurement from downstream users. Coal-based ethanol prices are stable, with shipments continuing according to orders. Fuel ethanol prices are maintaining a steady trend, with major suppliers ensuring supply stability.

Data Release Date Current Period Data Trend Forecast
Ethanol Operating Rate Thursday 15:00 PM 59.19%
Ethyl Acetate Operating Rate Thursday 15:00 PM 51.08%
Remarks: 1. ↑↓ indicates significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. 2. ↗↘ indicates narrow fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with changes within 0-3%.

Chempricehub Daily Briefing on Ethanol and Fuel Ethanol Related Products

Product Region 2025/10/28 2025/10/27 Change Remarks
Crude Oil WTI 60.15 61.31 -1.16
Brent 64.4 65.62 -1.22
Domestic Gasoline Guidance Price (89#) 7969 7969 Shandong
Dried Cassava Thailand 212-215 212-215 FOB, USD/ton
Converted Plant Cost 1828-1856 1828-1856 East China, RMB/ton
Corn (Inbound) Heilongjiang 1955-2002 1955-2002 Heilongjiang
Jilin 2010-2090 2020-2090 -10/0 Jilin
Henan 2200-2210 2200-2210 Jiaozuo dry grain, 14% moisture
Shandong 2170-2170 2160-2160 +10/+10 Weifang dry grain, 14% moisture
Ordinary Grade Heilongjiang (East) 4820-4830 4820-4830 Corn
Heilongjiang (West) 4850-4900 4850-4900 Corn
Jilin 4950-5050 4950-5050 Corn
Shandong 5400-5400 5400-5400 Cassava, ex-factory
Shandong 5150-5300 5150-5300 Wheat
Northern Jiangsu 5300-5300 5300-5300 Cassava
Southern Jiangsu 5400-5400 5400-5400 Cassava, ex-factory
Anhui 5350-5350 5350-5350 Grain/Cassava
Guangxi 5650-5700 5650-5700 Cassava
Premium Grade Heilongjiang 4900-4950 4900-4950 East/West, Corn
Jilin 5100-5450 5100-5450 Corn
Shandong 5300-5350 5300-5350 Wheat
Northern Jiangsu 5380-5380 5380-5380
Henan 5230-5250 5230-5250 Corn
Anhydrous Ethanol Heilongjiang (Standard) 5400-5450 5400-5450 Corn
Heilongjiang (Electronic Grade) 5450-5500 5450-5500 Corn
Jilin (Standard) 5500-5850 5500-5850 Corn, transactions mainly at lower end
Jilin (Electronic Grade) 5650-5950 5650-5950 Corn, transactions mainly at lower end
Henan (Standard) 5900-5950 5900-5950 Corn
Henan (Electronic Grade) - - Corn, no stock available
Northern Jiangsu 5900-5900 5900-5900 Cassava
Anhui 5900-5950 5900-5950 Grain/Cassava
Guangxi 6350-6450 6350-6450 Cassava
Port Jinzhou Port 5100-5200 5100-5200 Ordinary grade, Corn
Fuel Ethanol Heilongjiang (East) 5200-5200 5200-5200
Heilongjiang (West) 5250-5250 5250-5250
Liaoning 5500-5500 5500-5500
Jilin 5400-5400 5400-5400
Panjin Independent Refinery (Delivered) - -
Shandong Independent Refinery (Delivered) 5250-5250 5260-5290 -10/-40 Delivered price
Synthetic/Coal-based Ethanol Shaanxi Starting Bid 5450 5450 Online quotation
Anhui Starting Bid 5400 - Online starting bid price
Henan Standard 5800 5800 Hydrogenation of acetate esters
Henan High-end - - Quotation (unit shut down on the 13th)
Shandong 5400 5460 -60 Quotation
Hunan 5600 5600 Quotation
Hebei 5600 5600 Quotation, negotiable upon transaction
Guangdong - -
Guangdong High-end 5950 6100 -150 High-end, purity 99.9%
Ethyl Acetate East China (Self-pickup) 5140-5200 5140-5200
MTBE Shandong (Self-pickup) 4850-4950 4900-4950 -50/0
DDGS Heilongjiang 2030-2150 2030-2150
Jilin 1950-2250 1950-2250
Henan 2330-2330 2330-2330
Freight Tracking Western Heilongjiang-Shandong 280-300 280-300 Ordinary ethanol
Henan-Shandong 100-200 100-200
Eastern Heilongjiang-Shandong 330-370 330-370 Fuel ethanol
Northwest-Shandong 260-270 260-270
Mengzhou-Chengdu 250-300 250-300 Return empty trucks are relatively cheap

Comments

0
  • Priya Kapoor 2026-09-20 20:06
    Crude's pullback eases feedstock pressure, yet ethanol margins stay compressed amid stable downstream demand. I expect capacity utilization to remain cautious until the price floor is confirmed, keeping short-term volati..
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