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Home > News > Low Supply Landscape Continues, Driving Up Monomer Prices (Sep 15, 2026)

Low Supply Landscape Continues, Driving Up Monomer Prices (Sep 15, 2026)

Published on 2026-09-15
  1. Daily Summary

① Raw Materials: East China ethylene oxide prices remained stable at 9,200 yuan/ton; domestic ethylene prices rose to 9,300 yuan/ton.
② Demand: Downstream buyers were cautious about chasing higher prices for restocking, with purchases limited to rigid demand in small volumes.

  1. Spot Market Overview

Table 1: Domestic Price Summary of Polycarboxylate Superplasticizer (PCE) Monomers (Unit: Yuan/Ton)

Region Grade Sep 14, 2026 Sep 15, 2026 Change Value Change Rate
East China EPEG 11,000-11,200 11,200-11,400 +200 / +200 +1.82% / +1.79%
HPEG 11,100-11,300 11,300-11,500 +200 / +200 +1.80% / +1.77%
TPEG 11,100-11,300 11,300-11,500 +200 / +200 +1.80% / +1.77%
South China EPEG 11,100-11,300 11,300-11,500 +200 / +200 +1.80% / +1.77%
HPEG 11,200-11,400 11,400-11,600 +200 / +200 +1.79% / +1.75%
TPEG 11,200-11,400 11,400-11,600 +200 / +200 +1.79% / +1.75%
Northeast China HPEG 11,000-11,200 11,300-11,500 +300 / +300 +2.73% / +2.68%
EPEG 11,000-11,200 11,300-11,500 +300 / +300 +2.73% / +2.68%
TPEG 11,100-11,300 11,400-11,600 +300 / +300 +2.70% / +2.65%

Data Source: Chempricehub

Today, domestic prices for polycarboxylate superplasticizer (PCE) monomers continued to rise. Related product ethylene glycol prices also strengthened. The spot supply of ethylene oxide remains tight, keeping its price firm at high levels. In the ethylene market, supply in East China remained tense, and some major producers raised their quotation prices. However, key downstream markets such as styrene showed stagnant trends with weak profitability, resulting in limited acceptance of high-priced goods. Fundamentals in the ethylene oxide market provided support, with prices running high due to cost-side backing. Monomer producers focused on fulfilling existing orders and were reluctant to sell at low prices. Downstream consumers drew down inventories and made rigid-demand restocks, with a strong wait-and-see sentiment prevailing. Consequently, the price of EPEG in the main East China market is expected to reach 11,300-11,500 yuan/ton on the next working day.

  1. Production Dynamics

Today, the capacity utilization rate in the PCE monomer industry was 24.21%, a month-over-month decline. The gross profit margin for PCE monomer HPEG stood at 1,056 yuan/ton.

  1. Price Forecast

On the next working day, domestic PCE monomer prices may trend stronger. Key raw material ethylene oxide prices are likely to remain firm at high levels, while ethylene glycol prices maintain an upward trend. Tight spot supply of ethylene oxide persists. Downstream industries across various sectors are expected to maintain steady consumption. Trading volume in the ethylene market has declined, and producers lack sufficient momentum for further price hikes, suggesting prices will mainly stabilize. Monomer holders may cautiously push prices up, while downstream willingness to chase highs and stockpile remains weak, with transactions primarily driven by rigid demand and negotiated based on volume. In the short term, prices may trend stronger. Consequently, the price of EPEG in the main East China market is expected to reach 11,300-11,500 yuan/ton on the next working day.

  1. Related Products Status

① Ethylene Oxide (Raw Material): The ethylene oxide market is expected to consolidate at high levels. On the supply side, with ethylene glycol prices remaining high, co-production units have shifted focus toward producing ethylene glycol, leaving the shortage of ethylene oxide spot supply unresolved. Key downstream industries performed steadily with consistent consumption. On the cost side, available spot ethylene supplies were tight, but expectations of reduced loads or shutdowns for styrene derivatives persisted, leading to fewer rigid-demand buyers and weak momentum for further price increases. High-price transactions faced pressure, though cost support remained intact. Overall, supply and cost factors continue to provide short-term support, keeping prices high. Attention should be paid to upstream and downstream developments going forward.

  1. Data Calendar

Table 2: Domestic PCE Monomer Data Overview (Unit: Ten Thousand Tons)

Indicator Release Time Previous Period Data Current Period Trend Forecast
Sellable Inventory Rate Thursday 17:00 PM -30.09%
Weekly Output Thursday 17:00 PM 2.70 ten thousand tons
Capacity Utilization Rate Thursday 17:00 PM 24.21%

Data Source: Chempricehub
Notes:
1. ↓↑ indicates significant fluctuation, highlighting data dimensions with change rates exceeding 3%.
2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range fluctuation, highlighting data dimensions with change rates within 0-3%.

Comments

0
  • Marcus Hayes 2026-09-15 20:09
    With capacity utilization at just 24.21%, tight ethylene oxide supply is driving PCE monomer prices up ~2%. While downstream demand remains cautious, rigid needs support the trend. I expect continued price strength near-..
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