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Market Supply-Demand Tug-of-War Leads to Narrow-Range Consolidation in Butadiene Prices (Sep 18–24, 2026)

Published on 2026-09-24
  1. Weekly Highlights:

① High crude oil prices provide some support to the cost side.
② Approaching contract deliveries and holiday impacts have led some downstream users to restock based on rigid demand.
③ Market sentiment has strengthened, with sellers maintaining firm offer intentions, resulting in a slight upward trend in the latter part of the week.

  1. Market Overview for This Period:

During this period, the domestic butadiene market traded within a range. The Nanjing Chengzhi butadiene unit in China restarted, and a unit in the North China region resumed operations after a short shutdown. Although supply increased slightly, its impact on market trends was limited. Combined with persistently weak downstream demand, producers faced continued losses and showed increasing resistance to high-priced raw materials. With a cautious wait-and-see attitude, purchasing willingness remained low, dragging the market down slightly in the early part of the week. However, considering that high crude oil prices provided some support to costs, and due to approaching contract deliveries and holiday effects, some downstream users engaged in restocking driven by rigid demand. This boosted market sentiment, leading sellers to maintain firm offer intentions, which resulted in a slight upward movement in the latter part of the week. As of September 24, 2026, delivered prices in the Shandong Central Region ranged from 13,800 to 13,950 RMB/ton, while ex-tank self-pickup prices in East China referenced 13,500 to 13,700 RMB/ton.

  1. Price List for Butadiene and Related Products (Unit: RMB/ton)
Product Region/Category Current Avg Previous Avg Change Change % Unit
Crude Oil Brent 102.27 106.22 -3.95 -3.72% USD/barrel
Naphtha Japan 904.25 946.29 -42.04 -4.44% USD/ton
Butadiene Sinopec Posted Price 13567 14440 -873 -6.05% RMB/ton
CFR China 1598 1595 3 0.19% USD/ton
FOB Korea 1566 1520 46 3.03% USD/ton
Shandong 13738 14330 -593 -4.13% RMB/ton
Jiangsu 13554 14170 -616 -4.35% RMB/ton
Jiangyin 13367 13980 -613 -4.39% RMB/ton
Zhejiang 13554 14170 -616 -4.35% RMB/ton
BR Rubber Shandong 15142 15330 -188 -1.23% RMB/ton
SBR Rubber Shandong 15417 15600 -183 -1.18% RMB/ton
SBS Shandong 15000 15280 -280 -1.83% RMB/ton
ABS Yuyao 11025 11560 -535 -4.63% RMB/ton
NBR Rubber Hengshui 17517 17800 -283 -1.59% RMB/ton

Data Source: Chempricehub Information

  1. Forecast for Next Period:

The domestic butadiene market is expected to fluctuate weakly next period. On the supply side, units in the East and North China regions have restarted, leading to a slight increase in domestic output and easing the tightness of circulating resources, though their guidance on market trends remains limited. On the demand side, most downstream industries are still operating at a loss, and plant utilization rates remain relatively low. Consequently, there is little expectation for a significant boost in butadiene procurement demand, which may drag down market trends. The center of gravity for new deal negotiations may shift lower, suggesting a weak fluctuation in the domestic butadiene market. Delivered prices in the Shandong Central Region are estimated to be between 13,000 and 13,500 RMB/ton. Market participants should cautiously monitor changes in domestic and international supply conditions.

For more weekly market analysis, please refer to the Chempricehub Butadiene Weekly Report.

Comments

0
  • Yuki Tanaka 2026-09-24 20:13
    Butadiene’s narrow consolidation reflects a classic tug-of-war between restarted capacity and rigid downstream demand. While high feedstock costs support prices, producers face margin pressure. I expect continued weak f..
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