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Morning Market Update: Aniline

Published on 2026-09-29

I. Key Focus Points:

Pure Benzene: Spot circulation in the East China market remains tight, with active restocking driven by rigid demand at month-end, leading to a significant price increase. The Shandong market followed suit with synchronized gains, and average transaction prices for non-contract sales from local refineries also rose notably. However, downstream resistance to high-priced raw materials is intensifying, making follow-on buying more cautious and potentially limiting further upside. Spot prices are expected to maintain a strong, high-level trend today.

II. Price Table

Region Sep 29 Sep 28 Change
East China 14,720 14,720 0
Shandong 14,500 14,500 0
Notes:
1. Prices for East China are ex-works, bank acceptance, tax-inclusive RMB prices; prices for Shandong are ex-works, cash, tax-inclusive RMB prices.
2. Prices represent point-in-time values from the two preceding weeks, not weekly averages.
3. Change value indicates period-over-period variation.

III. Data Table

Aniline Industry Supply and Demand Data
Data Type 2026/9/17 2026/9/10 Rate of Change Next Week Forecast
Capacity Utilization Rate 84.48% 81.15% +3.33% ↑
Production Profit Margin 20.94% 23.46% -2.52% ↑
Output 8.63 8.29 +0.34 ↑
1. Capacity utilization rate reflects the ratio of production equipment output to capacity, indicating production levels.
2. Production profit margin is industry-wide data reflecting overall profitability in mainstream regions, calculated as industry profit divided by average price.
3. Output refers to weekly domestic aniline industry capacity, unit: ten thousand tons.

IV. Market Outlook

Jinling’s planned maintenance shutdown has been executed as scheduled, maintaining tight market supply conditions. With pure benzene trading at elevated levels, it supports firm aniline pricing. As the holiday approaches, some demand has withdrawn from the market, while other segments continue normal procurement activities.

Comments

0
  • Wei Zhang 2026-09-29 20:05
    Aniline margins are squeezed by tight benzene feedstock costs and Jinling’s shutdown, despite rising capacity utilization. Downstream resistance to high raw material prices limits upside potential. I expect near-term st..
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