I. Key Points
Crude Oil: On September 18, expectations for the restoration of Saudi oil pipelines improved, combined with signs of easing tensions in the Middle East, causing international crude oil prices to fall. NYMEX October crude futures closed at $100.3/bbl, down $1.61/bbl (-1.58% WoW); ICE November Brent crude futures closed at $103.87/bbl, down $0.95/bbl (-0.91% WoW). China INE November 2026 crude futures fell by RMB 50.6 to RMB 754.4/bbl; night session trading dropped by RMB 19.6 to RMB 734.8/bbl.
Xylene: Sinopec East China posted xylene price was RMB 8,650/ton.
Gasoline: Yesterday’s Shandong local refinery gasoline sales-to-production ratio was 91%, up 12 percentage points WoW.
Core Logic: Crude oil futures slipped slightly lower. Yesterday, Shandong local refineries did not balance production and sales, factory auctions showed no premium, and on-site purchasing sentiment slowed. The Asian USD market declined yesterday, leading to weak xylene price trends.
II. Price Table
| Region | Sep 17 | Sep 18 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| FOB Korea | 1156 | 1126 | -30 |
| Shandong Market | 8740 | 8650 | -90 |
| East China Market | 8765 | 8600 | -165 |
| Notes: | |||
| 1. FOB Korea: USD/ton; East China and Shandong markets: RMB/ton. | |||
| 2. Xylene prices reflect the average closing price of mainstream markets. | |||
| 3. All RMB prices in the table above are spot exchange rates, tax-inclusive, ex-works pickup prices. |
III. Market Outlook
Crude oil futures closed with three consecutive declines, providing psychological support to the market. Yesterday, the gasoline market did not balance production and sales, refinery xylene shipments slowed, downstream customers entered the market only as needed to replenish stocks, and the MX-PX spread remained low. Chemical sector purchasing enthusiasm was insufficient. Domestic xylene is expected to trade weakly today.
| Data Item | Release Time | Previous Period Data | Current Trend Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xylene Port Inventory | Tuesday 18:00 PM | 0.84 | ↓ |
| Weekly Average Xylene Profit | Thursday 18:00 PM | 1505.68 | ↗ |
| Unplanned Xylene Sales Volume | Beginning of Month 18:00 PM | 488.09 | ↗ |
| Weekly Toluene Inventory | Tuesday 18:00 PM | 1.59 | ↓ |
| 1. ↓↑ indicates significant volatility, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. | |||
| 2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range fluctuations, highlighting data with changes within 0–3%. |
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