① Today, domestic n-butanol prices in Shandong decreased by 50 yuan/ton, while prices in East China and South China dropped by 25 yuan/ton.
② Current operating rates: Domestic n-butanol at 86%, butyl acrylate at 60%, butyl acetate at 66%, and DBP (dibutyl phthalate) at 40%.
Table 1: Summary of Domestic N-Butanol Industry Chain Prices (Unit: Yuan/Ton)
| Product | Market | Previous Period | Current Period | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-Butanol | Shandong | 8200 | 8150 | -50 | -0.61% |
| East China | 8325 | 8300 | -25 | -0.30% | |
| Henan | 8350 | 8350 | 0 | 0% | |
| South China | 8325 | 8300 | -25 | -0.30% | |
| Key Upstream | |||||
| Propylene | Shandong | 10565 | 10475 | -90 | -0.85% |
| Key Downstream | |||||
| Butyl Acrylate | East China | 9750 | 9650 | -100 | -1.03% |
| Butyl Acetate | East China | 8175 | 8050 | -50 | -0.61% |
| DBP | Henan | 10350 | 10300 | -50 | -0.48% |
| Data Source: Chempricehub |
Based on the Shandong market, today's n-butanol closed at 8,100–8,200 yuan/ton, consistent with morning expectations. The price center of gravity for domestic n-butanol continued to decline as propylene feedstock prices fell, reducing cost support. Meanwhile, downstream buyers adopted a wait-and-see approach, preferring lower price points. With ample market supply, producers actively offered discounts to stimulate sales. Consequently, trading activity centered around the lower end of the price range.
Today, the capacity utilization rate for domestic n-butanol stood at 86%. Following the drop in propylene prices, current profitability for n-butanol is approximately 63 yuan/ton.
Currently, upstream and downstream purchasing interest remains low, with demand limited to essential needs procured at lower prices. Market supply is abundant, and factories are offering discounts to clear inventory, keeping the price center of gravity at the lower end. Trading volume is moderate. Therefore, market prices are expected to fluctuate within a weak trend.
Octanol Market: Today, the domestic octanol market remained firm. Cost pressures have eased, and mainstream manufacturers maintained stable offers. Inquiry activity from essential demand improved compared to yesterday, with plasticizer users showing acceptable sentiment towards spot purchases. Supply has tightened recently, leaving little room for negotiation.
Table 2: Domestic N-Butanol Data Overview (Units: 10k Tons, Yuan/Ton)
| Indicator | Release Date | Previous Data | Expected Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate | Thursday 17:00 | 88% | ↗ |
| Weekly Output | Thursday 17:00 | 5.99 | ↗ |
| Average Weekly Profit | Thursday 17:00 | 178 | ↘ |
| Data Source: Chempricehub | |||
| Notes: 1. ↓↑ indicates significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. 2. ↗ ↘ indicates minor fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with changes within 0-3%. |
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