1. Qualitative Analysis of Production and Capacity Utilization Trends
In the current week (Aug 21-27, 2026), China’s methanol output was 1,850,215 tons, an increase of 7,750 tons from the previous week. The unit capacity utilization rate was 81.90%, up 0.43% week-on-week.
Table 1 Comparison of China’s Weekly Methanol Output and Capacity Utilization (Unit: tons, %)
| Item | This Week | Last Week | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Output | 1,850,215 | 1,842,465 | 0.42% |
| Capacity utilization | 81.90% | 81.55% | 0.43% |
Source: Chempricehub
Units newly entering maintenance this week included those at Xufeng Heyuan and Shanxi Coking, as well as one unit each in Inner Mongolia, Hebei, Shanxi, and Jiangsu. No new production-cut units were added during the period. Units that resumed operation after maintenance or output reduction included those at Xindongheng, with one unit each in Xinjiang, Shandong, Guizhou, and Inner Mongolia. Since total resumed volume was greater than lost volume during the period, the capacity utilization rate rose and production increased.
2. Forecast Analysis of Production and Capacity Utilization Trends
Next week, China’s weekly methanol output and capacity utilization are expected to be approximately 1.9165 million tons and 84.83%, respectively, up from the current week. The capacity scheduled to resume operations next week is greater than the capacity affected by maintenance and output cuts, which will push the capacity utilization rate and output higher.
3. Comparison of Capacity Utilization and Price Trends
This week, China’s methanol capacity utilization rate was 81.90%, up 0.43% week-on-week and down 3.52% year-on-year. Domestic methanol capacity utilization rose slightly, and market supply increased. However, the sharp rise in futures boosted trading sentiment and downstream purchasing activity, driving up prices in the major producing regions.
(Note: As some historical data have been revised, the latest data for this week should prevail.)
Sample description: Chempricehub’s weekly methanol output and capacity utilization data are first-hand statistical data, covering 180 domestic methanol producers, with a sample coverage rate of 100%. The statistical period runs from Friday of the previous week through Thursday of the current week. Data are released every Thursday at 14:30 on working days.
Term definitions: Output generally refers to the actual quantity of products meeting relevant standards produced by an enterprise during a given period. It is not a commercial sales-volume concept, but the weight or volume of products under a defined unit of measurement—i.e., actual output.
Capacity utilization rate: Also known as operating load, it indicates the degree to which an enterprise’s production capacity is utilized, and is generally calculated as the ratio of product output or raw material processing volume to effective capacity.
Statistical methodology: Weekly output and capacity utilization are measured over the period from Friday of the previous week through Thursday of the current week, with data released at 14:30 every Thursday on working days.
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