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Weekly Data Analysis of Theoretical Profit for Butadiene in China (September 3–9, 2026)

Published on 2026-09-10

I. Qualitative Analysis of Sample Trends

In this period (September 3–9, 2026), the profit of the C4 extraction process was RMB 5,704.8/t, up RMB 1,169.53/t from the previous period; the profit of the oxidative dehydrogenation process was RMB 1,710/t, up RMB 290/t from the previous period. During the week, crude oil and naphtha prices moved upward, the butadiene cost side remained relatively strong, Sinopec raised its butadiene price, and suppliers maintained firm offers, driving up profits at C4 extraction and oxidative dehydrogenation units; however, for coal-to-liquids, because suppliers had no valid offers, there was no theoretical profit assessment value.

Table: Production Profit of Butadiene by Different Processes (Unit: RMB/t)

Process Current Period Previous Period Change Change (%)
C4 extraction 5,704.78 4,535.25 1,169.53 25.79%
Oxidative dehydrogenation 1,710 1,420 290 20.42%
Coal-to-liquids -- -- -- --

II. Forecast Analysis of Sample Trends

Crude oil prices remain high, suppliers' quotation intentions are firm, but downstream demand is weakening; profits across various butadiene sectors are expected to edge down slightly.

III. Product Sample Trend and Price Comparison

As of September 10, 2026, China's butadiene market price fluctuated at a high level. The weekly average delivered price in the Luzhong area of Shandong was RMB 14,853/t, up RMB 893/t week on week.

Sample note: Theoretical profit monitoring is conducted using the raw material prices required for different butadiene production processes in China, as well as the sample enterprise prices and market prices for different butadiene production processes, compiled by Chempricehub Information.

Statistical basis: The statistical period for butadiene production profits by different processes is based on data for Thursday of the current week; data are released before 17:00 every Friday on working days.

Comments

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  • Sarah Mitchell 2026-09-10 20:16
    Strong naphtha feedstock cost lifted C4 extraction margins, but I see demand-side risk: if downstream demand keeps weakening, these butadiene profits may not hold.
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