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Home > News > Weekly Theoretical Profit Analysis for Butadiene in China (Sep 10–16, 2026)

Weekly Theoretical Profit Analysis for Butadiene in China (Sep 10–16, 2026)

Published on 2026-09-17

I. Qualitative Analysis of Sample Trends

During the current period (September 10–16, 2026), the profit margin for the C4 extraction process was 5,004.23 yuan/ton, a decrease of 700.55 yuan/ton compared to the previous period. The profit margin for the oxidative dehydrogenation process was 940 yuan/ton, down by 770 yuan/ton from the previous period. The profit margin for the coal-to-oil process was 790 yuan/ton. During the week, crude oil and naphtha prices trended upward, increasing cost pressures on butadiene production. Meanwhile, Sinopec lowered its butadiene price, and supplier quotes generally weakened, leading to reduced profits for both extraction and oxidative dehydrogenation units. For the coal-to-oil process, no theoretical profit comparison data is available due to the lack of valid supplier quotes in the prior period.

Table: Butadiene Production Profit Margins by Process (Unit: Yuan/Ton)

Product Current Period Previous Period Change Value Change Rate
C4 Extraction 5004.23 5704.78 -700.55 -12.28%
Oxidative Dehydrogenation 940 1710 -770 -45.03%
Coal-to-Oil 790 -- -- --

Data Source: Chempricehub Information

II. Trend Forecast Analysis

Although crude oil prices remain at high levels, downstream demand is weakening. It is expected that profit margins across various butadiene industries will see a slight decline.

III. Comparison of Product Sample Trends and Prices

As of September 17, 2026, the market price of butadiene in China fluctuated weakly. The weekly average delivered price in the central Shandong region was 14,330 yuan/ton, a decrease of 523 yuan/ton compared to the previous week.

Sample Description: This report monitors theoretical profits based on raw material costs required for different butadiene production processes, sample enterprise prices, and market prices for butadiene produced via different processes, as compiled by Chempricehub Information.

Statistical Scope: The statistical period for butadiene production profits by different processes covers data from Thursday of the current week. Data is released before 17:00 on Fridays during working days.

Comments

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  • Olivier Dupont 2026-09-17 20:10
    Seeing butadiene margins compress due to rising feedstock costs and weak downstream demand is concerning. The 45% drop in oxidative dehydrogenation profits highlights severe pressure on high-cost units. I expect capacity..
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