What is driving the price surge in pyrolysis C5 and how does it affect downstream C5 resin margins?
Pyrolysis C5 prices in China have shown strong upward momentum, with a typical northern benchmark rising from 4,700 yuan/t in early 2022 to 6,600 yuan/t by spring, a gain of over 40%. The root cause is the sharp rise in naphtha costs linked to crude oil, which squeezed ethylene margins and pushed up by-product C5 prices. Private ethylene units in the north even bid C5 near 8,000 yuan/t, well above Sinopec and PetroChina levels. Downstream road-marking C5 petroleum resin producers, heavily reliant on purchased C5, saw resin prices rise only about 28%, far less than feedstock. With resin yields of just 40-50% and weak seasonal demand, margins turned negative, forcing operating rates down to 60-70%. This illustrates the acute cost-pass-through challenge for C5 derivative producers when feedstock inflation outpaces product pricing.
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