I. Key Points
Crude Oil: On September 15, heightened supply risks from Saudi Arabia and the ongoing stalemate in US-Iran relations drove international oil prices higher. The NYMEX WTI October futures contract rose by USD 4.44/bbl to USD 105.83/bbl, up 4.38% day-on-day; the ICE Brent November futures contract increased by USD 3.07/bbl to USD 108.75/bbl, up 2.90% day-on-day. China's INE crude oil futures (contract SC2611) rose by CNY 59.7 to CNY 836.2/bbl, with the night session gaining CNY 23.8 to reach CNY 860/bbl.
Xylene: Sinopec East China posted a xylene price of CNY 9,000/ton.
Gasoline: Yesterday, the production-sales ratio for gasoline at Shandong local refineries was 65%, down 53 percentage points day-on-day.
Core Logic: Crude oil futures edged slightly higher. Yesterday, Shandong local refinery production and sales were not balanced; factory auctions did not command premiums, though on-site purchasing sentiment remained decent. The Asian FOB market rose yesterday, while xylene prices traded weakly.
II. Price Table
| Region | Sep 14 | Sep 15 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| FOB Korea | 1163 | 1188 | +25 |
| Shandong Market | 8777 | 8775 | -2 |
| East China Market | 8925 | 8915 | -10 |
| Remarks: | |||
| 1. FOB Korea: USD/ton; East China and Shandong markets: CNY/ton. | |||
| 2. Xylene prices reflect the closing average of mainstream markets. | |||
| 3. All RMB prices in the table above are spot exchange rates, tax-inclusive, ex-works pickup prices. |
III. Market Outlook
Crude oil futures closed sharply higher, providing psychological support to the market. Yesterday, gasoline production and sales were not balanced. Refinery xylene shipments were decent, and downstream customers actively entered the market to replenish stocks. However, weaker crude oil performance during the morning session capped gains. Domestic xylene prices are expected to open high and trend lower today.
| Data Item | Release Time | Previous Period | Expected Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xylene Port Inventory | Tuesday 18:00 PM | 0.84 | ↓ |
| Weekly Average Xylene Profit | Thursday 18:00 PM | 124.93 | ↗ |
| Unplanned Xylene Sales Volume | Beginning of Month 18:00 PM | 488.09 | ↗ |
| Weekly Toluene Inventory | Tuesday 18:00 PM | 1.59 | ↓ |
| 1. ↓↑ indicates significant fluctuation, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. | |||
| 2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range fluctuation, highlighting data with changes within 0-3%. |
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