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Don't overlook the impact of new coal-to-aromatics projects in Xinjiang and Shaanxi. As these ramp up, they could alter the domestic toluene supply mix, potentially decoupling toluene prices from crude oil and creating new cost dynamics for o-toluic acid producers.
Watch the Inner Mongolia and Shandong project pipelines closely—several new fine chemical parks include substituted benzoic acid lines. If multiple projects come online by 2026, regional oversupply could emerge, pressuring margins despite stable downstream demand.