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Aniline Market Morning Brief

Published on 2026-11-05

I. Key Focus Areas:

Pure Benzene: With the Democratic Party winning the US midterm elections, market expectations suggest a de-escalation of the US-Iran conflict, reducing concerns over supply risks and leading to a drop in international crude oil prices. ICE Brent crude futures (January contract) fell by $8.98 per barrel to $94.62, representing a week-on-week decline of 8.67%. Yesterday, the market experienced significant declines with moderate trading volume. Given the sharp drop in crude oil and expectations that easing Middle East tensions will continue to pressure prices, the market is predicted to open lower and trend downward today.

II. Price List

Region Nov 5 Nov 4 Change
East China 16,750 16,750 0
Shandong 16,500 16,500 0
Remarks:
1. Prices for East China are RMB ex-factory, tax-inclusive, settled via bank acceptance bill; prices for Shandong are RMB ex-factory, cash settlement.
2. The listed prices represent spot prices from the two weeks preceding this report, not weekly averages.
3. The change value reflects the period-over-period variation.

III. Data Overview

Aniline Industry Supply and Demand Data
Data Type 2026/10/29 2026/10/22 Rate of Change Next Week Forecast
Capacity Utilization Rate 81.04% 79.79% +1.25% ↑
Production Profit Margin 31.45% 30.39% +1.06% ↑
Output 8.28 8.15 +0.13 ↑
1. Capacity utilization rate indicates the ratio of actual production output to total capacity, reflecting production levels.
2. Production profit margin is an industry-wide metric reflecting overall profitability in major regions, calculated as industry profit divided by average price.
3. Output refers to the weekly domestic aniline industry production volume, measured in ten thousand tons.

IV. Market Outlook

Significant declines in crude oil and pure benzene have dampened market confidence, intensifying wait-and-see sentiment among downstream buyers. However, current market supply remains tight, allowing aniline prices to maintain their upward trajectory.

Comments

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  • Priya Kapoor 2026-11-05 10:01
    Aniline prices stay elevated despite falling benzene costs, as tight supply keeps margins at 31.45%. However, weak downstream demand and wait-and-see sentiment pose risks to future capacity utilization and price sustaina..
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