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Cost-Driven: Weekly Market Center of Gravity for 2-Ethylhexanol Rises (October 23–29, 2026)

Published on 2026-10-29
  1. Key Market Focus This Week
  1. Production: Domestic isooctanol output reached 66,700 tons this week, an increase of 3,100 tons from the previous week, representing a week-on-week rise of 4.87%. The operating rate stood at 72%, up by 3 percentage points week-on-week. The average weekly gross margin was -16 RMB/ton, a decrease of 228 RMB/ton compared to last week.

  2. Demand: DOP (Dioctyl Phthalate) operating rate was 61%; DOTP (Dioctyl Terephthalate) operating rate was 60%; Isobornyl Acrylate (IBA) operating rate was 43%.

  1. Weekly Market Analysis
Domestic Isooctanol Market Trend Chart (Unit: RMB/ton)
Data Source: Chempricehub Information

Domestic Isooctanol Price Weekly Change Table

Unit: RMB/ton

Region Last Week Close This Week Close Change % Change
Shandong 9,600 9,900 +300 +3.12%
East China 9,725 10,050 +325 +3.34%

Data Source: Chempricehub Information

The domestic isooctanol market maintained its upward trend this week. On Thursday, mainstream ex-factory prices in Shandong reached 9,900 RMB/ton, an increase of 300 RMB/ton compared to the previous Thursday. The primary driver for this price increase remained the feedstock propylene, whose price surged significantly, providing strong cost-side support. Meanwhile, isooctanol plant inventories were low at the end of the month, and downstream plasticizer units gradually increased their load rates, creating rigid procurement demand for isooctanol that supported market transactions. The sharp rise in propylene prices on Thursday led to negative margins for spot isooctanol sales, which invigorated trading activity. Under significant cost pressure, isooctanol plants limited spot order acceptance in the afternoon of Thursday.

  1. Next Week Market Forecast

Supply: Following the restart of the Ningxia Baichuan unit, additional supply will enter the market next week, leading to an expected increase in domestic isooctanol supply compared to this week.

Demand: Operating rates for downstream plasticizers and isobornyl acrylate units are expected to rise, increasing demand.

Costs: Feedstock propylene prices have continued to climb, keeping isooctanol production costs at high levels.

Although some isooctanol supply is expected to increase next week, manufacturers intend to push quotes higher due to substantial cost pressures. Spot demand from downstream plasticizers is expected to improve steadily; however, at the beginning of the month, downstream buyers will primarily focus on fulfilling existing contract obligations. Terminal demand remains acceptable, with current raw material prices being tolerable to end-users. Consequently, driven by cost factors, the overall market center for isooctanol is projected to shift upward next week.

For more detailed weekly market analysis, please refer to the Chempricehub Butanediol/Isooctanol Weekly Report.

Comments

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  • Marcus Hayes 2026-10-29 20:05
    With propylene feedstock costs surging, 2-EH margins remain negative despite rising output. While unit restarts will boost supply next week, improving downstream demand for DOP and DOTP should keep the market center of g..
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