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Costs are providing support, and monomer prices are trending upward with stability.

Published on 2026-10-26
  1. Today’s Summary

① Raw Materials: East China ethylene oxide (EO) prices held at 9,700 RMB/ton; domestic ethylene prices rose to 9,300 RMB/ton.
② Demand: Downstream buyers remained cautious, observing market trends and replenishing only on a strict need-to-buy basis.

  1. Spot Market Overview

Table 1: Domestic Polycarboxylate Superplasticizer (PCE) Monomer Price Summary (Unit: RMB/ton)

Market Specification Oct 23, 2026 Oct 26, 2026 Change % Change
East China EPEG 10,100–10,400 10,100–10,400 0 / 0 0% / 0%
HPEG 10,200–10,500 10,200–10,500 0 / 0 0% / 0%
TPEG 10,200–10,500 10,200–10,500 0 / 0 0% / 0%
South China EPEG 10,300–10,400 10,300–10,400 0 / 0 0% / 0%
HPEG 10,400–10,500 10,400–10,500 0 / 0 0% / 0%
TPEG 10,400–10,500 10,400–10,500 0 / 0 0% / 0%
Northeast China HPEG 10,000–10,300 10,050–10,350 +50 / +50 +0.5% / +0.49%
EPEG 10,000–10,300 10,050–10,350 +50 / +50 +0.5% / +0.49%
TPEG 10,100–10,400 10,150–10,450 +50 / +50 +0.5% / +0.48%
Data Source: Chempricehub Information

Today, the domestic PCE monomer market prices remained stable. On the raw materials side, some ethylene oxide units underwent maintenance, leading to a slight reduction in supply. Downstream consumption maintained its pace of meeting immediate needs, keeping prices steady at high levels. The East China ethylene market maintained a tight balance between supply and demand. Producers are primarily pre-selling November inventory, with derivatives showing strong trends. Intraday inquiries and trading activity were active. The fundamental outlook for the EO market remains decent, with fewer low-priced offers in the monomer market and transaction volume driven by essential demand. Downstream participants entered the market cautiously. In summary, the price of EPEG in the key East China market is expected to remain at 10,100–10,400 RMB/ton on the next working day.

Figure 1: 2026 Domestic Monomer Price Trend Chart (RMB/ton)
Figure 2: 2025–2026 Domestic Regional Price Trend Charts (RMB/ton)
Data Source: Chempricehub Information

  1. Production Dynamics

Today, the capacity utilization rate of the domestic PCE monomer industry stood at 30.01%, reflecting a month-on-month decline. The gross profit margin for HPEG was -334 RMB/ton.

Figure 3: 2025–2026 Domestic Capacity Utilization Rate Trend Chart
Figure 4: 2025–2026 Domestic Profit & Price Comparison Chart (RMB/ton)
Data Source: Chempricehub Information

  1. Price Forecast

On the next working day, domestic PCE monomer prices may remain stable or trend slightly stronger. Key raw material ethylene oxide prices are likely to hold steady. As planned unit maintenance takes effect, market supply may tighten slightly, though supply pressure remains manageable. Downstream consumption will continue steadily. With insufficient spot circulation in the ethylene market, downstream acceptance of higher prices has increased, suggesting ethylene prices will continue their upward trend, providing cost-side support. Monomer producers are focused on steady shipments with no significant willingness to offer discounts. Downstream procurement remains limited to essential needs, with cautious market entry and transactions negotiated based on volume. In conclusion, EPEG prices in the key East China market are projected to be 10,100–10,400 RMB/ton.

  1. Related Product Status

① Ethylene Oxide (Raw Material): EO prices are expected to trade stably. On the supply side, some units have scheduled maintenance shutdowns, while operating loads at other facilities remain stable, resulting in tighter overall supply. On the demand side, major downstream sectors face cost pressures, following up only on essential demand. On the cost side, domestic ethylene prices continue to rise due to insufficient spot circulation. Enterprises are primarily selling via pre-orders, and derivative product prices remain strong. Overall, with continued support from both supply constraints and rising costs, EO prices are expected to hold steady. Future developments upstream and downstream require close monitoring.

  1. Data Calendar

Table 2: Domestic PCE Monomer Data Overview (Unit: 10,000 tons)

Indicator Release Time Previous Period Expected Trend This Period
Sellable Inventory Rate Thu 17:00 PM -25.54% ↗
Weekly Output Thu 17:00 PM 33,800 tons ↘
Capacity Utilization Rate Thu 17:00 PM 30.28% ↘
Data Source: Chempricehub Information
Note: 1. ↓↑ indicates significant fluctuation, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. 2. ↗↘ indicates minor fluctuation, highlighting data dimensions with changes within 0–3%.

Comments

0
  • Daniel Foster 2026-10-26 20:04
    With capacity utilization dropping to 30%, PCE monomer prices are finding support from rising ethylene feedstock costs. However, cautious downstream demand limits upside momentum. I expect a stable trend ahead, as produc..
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