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Prompt

Published on 2026-11-03

I. Key Points

  1. Ongoing efforts by multiple parties to advance U.S.-Iran peace talks have eased market concerns regarding supply risks, leading to a decline in international crude oil prices.
  2. Ethylene glycol (MEG) inventory at major East China ports stood at 140,000 tons, representing a 2.30% increase from the previous statistical period.
  3. The MEG production capacity base is 30.569 million tons/year, with a capacity utilization rate of 63.37%.
  4. The polyester production capacity base is 91.025 million tons/year, with a capacity utilization rate of 74.31%.

Core Logic: The impact of frequent geopolitical changes has weakened, and expectations for loose supply in the long term persist.

II. Price Table

Product Date: 2026/10/30 Date: 2026/11/2 Change % Change Unit
Crude Oil ICE Brent 117.64 104.77 -12.87 -12.28%
NYMEX WTI 104.12 96.46 -7.66 -7.94%
China INE 727.60 745.20 17.60 2.36%
MX CFR China 1284 1239 -44.50 -3.59%
PX CFR China 1378.33 1323.00 -55.33 -4.18%
MEG Spot MEG USD 720 720 0.00 0.00%
Domestic 5890 5800 -90.00 -1.55%
PTA Price PTA USD 967 962 -5.00 -0.52%
PTA Spot 7195 7155 -40.00 -0.56%
PTA Processing Spread 209 448 239.65 53.44%
Polyester Semi-dull Chip 8555 8530 -25.00 -0.29%
PET Bottle Grade Resin 9050 9000 -50.00 -0.56%
Direct Spun Semi-dull POY 150D/48F 9325 9350 25.00 0.27%
Direct Spun Semi-dull FDY 150D/96F 9400 9450 50.00 0.53%
DTY 150D/48F Low Elasticity 10400 10400 0.00 0.00%
1.4 Direct Spun Staple Fiber 9065 9035 -30.00 -0.33%
Capacity Utilization PX 86.02% 86.02% 0.00% 0.00%
PTA 74.06% 68.44% -5.62% -8.21%
MEG 63.11% 63.37% 0.26% 0.41%
Polyester 74.06% 74.31% 0.25% 0.34%
Weaving 51.38% 51.38% 0.00% 0.00%

Note: Weaving operating rate data is updated every Thursday.

III. Data Table (Unit: Tons, Ten Thousand Tons)

Data Type Nov 2 Oct 30 Change Rate Trend
MEG Shipments 4,020 5,200 -22.69% ↘
MEG Operating Rate 63.37% 63.11% 0.26% ↗
MEG Port Inventory 14 11.7 19.66% ↗
Polyester Operating Rate 74.31% 74.06% 0.25% ↗
Polyamide Filament Sales Ratio 35.80% 34.00% 1.80% ↗

Note: Shipment data reflects figures from the previous working day.

IV. Market Outlook

With geopolitical tensions easing and crude oil prices dropping significantly, the cost premium for ethylene glycol (MEG) is expected to revert. A notable downward trend is anticipated in the domestic market today. The reference price range for spot self-pickup in East China today is estimated at 5,400–5,500 CNY/ton.

V. Data Calendar (Unit: Ten Thousand Tons)

Data Type Release Date Previous Period Data Expected Trend This Period
MEG Port Inventory Mon & Thu, 11:00 AM 14 ↗
MEG Production Thu, 16:00 PM 41.06 ↘
Polyester Production Thu, 16:00 PM 136.42 ↗
Jiangsu/Zhejiang Weaving Operating Rate Thu, 16:00 AM 51.38% ↘

Comments

0
  • Wei Zhang 2026-11-03 10:01
    With crude falling, MEG feedstock cost pressure eases. Yet rising East China inventories and 63% capacity utilization suggest supply remains loose. Downstream polyester demand is key here; without a strong pickup, margin..
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