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Weekly Outlook for the Mixed C5 Market

Published on 2026-10-08

I. Key Focus Points

  1. Crude Oil: On October 7, communication channels for U.S.-Iran negotiations remained open, and the possibility of further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve persisted, leading to a decline in international oil prices. NYMEX crude oil futures (November contract) closed at $88.28/bbl, down $1.16/bbl (-1.30% WoW); ICE Brent crude oil futures (December contract) closed at $100.20/bbl, down $0.38/bbl (-0.38% WoW). China INE crude oil futures were closed due to the National Day holiday.

  2. Gasoline: During the holiday period, the Shandong refinery gasoline market was weak, with production-to-sales ratios around 70%.

  3. Mixed C5: The mixed C5 market in Shandong declined.

Core Logic: Overnight crude oil prices fell, the gasoline market remained weak, and mixed C5 prices in Shandong declined.

II. Mixed C5 Price Trend Chart

Figure 1: Domestic Mixed C5 Price Trend (CNY/ton)
Data Source: Longzhong Information

III. Price Table

Unit: CNY/ton

Region Sep 24 Sep 30 Change % Change Remarks
Shandong 7450 7380 -70 -0.94%
East China 7400 7300 -100 -1.35%
Notes:
1. The East China region excludes Shandong Province.
2. Prices are tax-inclusive cash pickup prices from warehouses, in CNY/ton.
3. Percentage change refers to week-over-week variation.

Source: Chempricehub

IV. Market Outlook

The drop in overnight crude oil prices dampened sentiment among mid- and downstream market participants. During the holiday period, gasoline prices declined slightly, and overall trading activity was sluggish. Although bearish factors prevail in the market, post-holiday restocking demand is expected to provide some support. Chempricehub forecasts that mixed C5 prices will remain weak and consolidate within a narrow range.

Comments

0
  • Priya Kapoor 2026-10-09 09:20
    Mixed C5 prices slid as crude softened and Shandong gasoline demand stayed weak. With production-sales ratios low, capacity utilization looks shaky. I expect post-holiday restocking to stabilize feedstock costs slightly,..
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