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The import surge also reflects policy-driven substitution of coal with cleaner LPG in residential and industrial sectors. Watch for US export capacity expansions and potential tariff shifts—China's 2025 tariff on US propane cut imports by 29%, a similar risk exists for butane. Buyers should diversify supply sources and hedge freight costs.
Seasonality is key: butane prices typically firm ahead of winter blending season in the US and peak cooking-fuel demand in Asia/Africa. For Chinese buyers, monitoring US inventory builds and Panama Canal transit times is critical for timing purchases. Consider locking in Q4-Q1 contracts early to avoid winter premiums.
For plant operators, prioritize compressor reliability over upfront cost—downtime from seal failures or valve damage far exceeds price savings. Also, ensure gas detection systems cover low-lying areas since butane vapor is denser than air. Regular hydrostatic testing of storage vessels is non-negotiable, especially in older facilities.