① Focus on equipment fluctuations in the Shandong market.
② On the raw material front, today’s mainstream propylene oxide plant quotation was 10,950 RMB/ton (ex-factory, cash).
Table 1: Domestic Propylene Glycol Industry Chain Price Summary (Unit: RMB/ton)
| Market | Specification | Sep 30 | Oct 8 | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong | Industrial Grade | 9000 | 9100 | +100 | +1.11% |
| Jiangsu | Industrial Grade | 8825 | 8900 | +75 | +0.85% |
| Guangdong | Industrial Grade | 8700 | 8800 | +100 | +1.15% |
| Downstream & Related Products | |||||
| Unsaturated Resin | East China 191# | 10100 | 10400 | +300 | +2.97% |
| Unsaturated Resin | East China 196# | 10800 | 11100 | +300 | +2.78% |
| Elastomer Polyether | Shandong 210 | 11550 | 12100 | +500 | +4.76% |
| Dimethyl Carbonate | Shandong | 5300 | 5425 | +125 | +2.36% |
| Key Upstream | |||||
| Propylene Oxide | Shandong | 10700 | 10950 | +250 | +2.34% |
| Propylene | Shandong | 9740 | 10075 | +335 | +3.44% |
| Methanol | Central Shandong | 3950 | 3950 | 0 | 0.00% |
| Data Source: Chempricehub |
Based on the Shandong region, today’s propylene glycol price settled at 9,100 RMB/ton, marking a week-on-week increase.
Shandong market prices trended upward. During the holiday, major plants maintained low inventory pressure. Strengthening raw material costs provided support, and export orders remained robust, prompting some plants to revise prices upwards. The East China market saw narrow fluctuations as downstream buyers adopted a cautious wait-and-see approach. The South China market edged higher with suppliers actively accepting orders and shipping goods.
Propylene glycol capacity utilization stood at approximately 50%. Output declined slightly, while profitability improved compared to the previous week.
Table 2: Domestic Propylene Glycol Upstream and Downstream Participants' Sentiment Forecast
| Viewpoint | Count | Percentage | WoW Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bullish | 11 | 35% | 0% |
| Bearish | 11 | 35% | 0% |
| Neutral | 9 | 30% | 0% |
| Data Source: Chempricehub |
Looking ahead, on the raw material side, the propylene oxide market is consolidating with an upward trend. Downstream sectors have certain rigid demand following the holiday. With raw materials maintaining strength, the market retains support. In the propylene glycol market, upstream raw material prices continue to rise, and upcoming restarts of supply-side units will increase output, keeping participants in a wait-and-see mode. Propylene glycol prices are expected to remain stable with a slight upward bias. Continuous monitoring of unit operations and raw material price trends is advised.
Unsaturated Resin Market: Prices in East China rose today. Traders sold aggressively according to market conditions, while downstream buyers purchased on demand, primarily in small lots.
Polyether Market: Spot quotations were significantly raised, creating a strong bullish sentiment. Quotations from holders were inconsistent. Some downstream buyers chased the rally to enter the market, but actual transactions remained limited. Key focus should be on downstream buying sentiment and raw material news.
Table 3: Domestic Propylene Glycol Data Overview (Unit: Tons)
| Data Item | Release Time | Previous Period | Expected Trend This Period |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate | Thursday 17:00 PM | 54.85% | ↗ |
| Weekly Production Volume | Thursday 17:00 PM | 18,900 tons | ↗ |
| Data Source: Chempricehub Notes: 1. ↓↑ indicates significant fluctuation, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. 2. ↗↘ indicates narrow fluctuation, highlighting data dimensions with changes within 0-3%. |
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