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The market ended the pre-holiday period on a weak note, with traders awaiting developments after the holiday.

Published on 2026-09-30
  1. Daily Summary

① Qatar and other mediators continue to push for US-Iran peace talks, while Saudi crude oil supply has partially recovered, leading to a decline in international oil prices.

② East China closed at 6,165 RMB/ton (-210); South China closed at 6,190 RMB/ton (-155); CFR China closed at $737.5/ton (-15.5).

③ On September 29, total shipments from the two Zhangjiagang tank farms were 468 tons, a decrease of 68 tons compared to the previous day. As of now, the combined inventory at Changjiang International and Fubao terminals is 0.2 million tons.

Table 1: Domestic Diethylene Glycol (DEG) Price Summary (Unit: RMB/ton)

Market Specification Sep 29 Sep 30 Change % Change
Zhangjiagang Ex-tank 6375 6165 -210 -3.3%
Guangdong Delivered 6345 6190 -155 -2.4%
CFR China 753 737.5 -15.5 -2.1%
Key Downstream
Unsaturated Resin East China 196# 10800 10800 0 0.0%
Shandong 196# 9800 9800 0 0.0%
South China 196# 11400 11400 0 0.0%

East China closed at 6,165 RMB/ton (-210); South China closed at 6,190 RMB/ton (-155); CFR China closed at $737.5/ton (-15.5). The DEG market trended further downward today. Opening around 6,300 RMB/ton in the morning, bids followed up at 6,200 RMB/ton. During the morning session, the main trading range was 6,200-6,250 RMB/ton. In the afternoon, the price dropped to a main range of 6,100-6,200 RMB/ton, breaking below 6,100 RMB/ton by close.

  1. Shipment and Inventory Dynamics

On September 29, total shipments from the two Zhangjiagang tank farms were 468 tons, a decrease of 68 tons compared to the previous day. As of now, the combined inventory at Changjiang International and Fubao terminals is 0.2 million tons.

  1. Market Sentiment

Table 2: Domestic DEG Upstream and Downstream Industry Sentiment Outlook (Updated on Mondays)

Viewpoint Proportion Week-on-Week Change
Bullish 17% -10%
Bearish 68% +20%
Neutral 15% -10%
  1. Price Forecast

For the final trading day before the holiday, DEG is expected to continue weak performance. Traders aim to stabilize prices to clear inventory before closing out for the break. The market largely awaits developments after post-holiday cargo arrivals, with participation primarily driven by rigid demand.

  1. Related Products Status

Monoethylene Glycol (MEG) Market: On September 30, MEG in Zhangjiagang closed at 6,195 RMB/ton, down 305 RMB/ton; South China closed at 6,500 RMB/ton, down 150 RMB/ton; USD basis closed at $735/ton, unchanged.

  1. Data Calendar

Table 3: Domestic DEG Data Overview (Unit: Million Tons)

Indicator Release Date Previous Value Expected Trend
Port Inventory Monday 16:00 PM 0.21 ↑
Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate Thursday 16:00 PM 62.44% ↘
Weekly Output Thursday 16:00 PM 2.12 ↘
Monthly Import Volume (August) End of Month 16:00 PM 0.39 ↑
Monthly Export Volume (August) End of Month 16:00 PM 0.27 ↑

Note:

  1. ↓↑ indicates significant fluctuation, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%.
  2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range fluctuation, highlighting data dimensions with changes within 0-3%.

Comments

0
  • Priya Kapoor 2026-10-01 20:08
    With Saudi supply recovering and oil prices softening, DEG feedstock costs are dropping. However, weak downstream demand for unsaturated resins keeps margins squeezed. I expect bearish pressure to persist post-holiday as..
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